CSX Corp (CSX)
3M (MMM)
Lamar Advertising (LAMR)
Consol Energy (CNX)
Helmerich and Payne (HP)
Moody's (MCO)
Statoil (STO)
Thomson Creek (TC)
Grainger (GWW)
Waste Mgmt. (WM)
BE Aerospace (BEAV)
This blog will be used to provide thoughts on the market, technical set-ups, fundamental trading ideas, and other opinions of Joe Kunkle, a Professional Trader that founded Options Hawk. Please Visit OptionsHawk.com for Professional Subscription Services
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Fresh Breakout Alerts that Triggered Today with Charts
NPS Pharma (NPSP) Triggered at $6.75 - First Target $7.50, Potential for Bull Flag Breakout, Good Volume
Aluminum China (ACH) Triggers at $23 - Target $27 on Ascending Triangle Break (Call Buying)
Analog Devices (ADI) Triggers at $31 - Ascending Triangle Breakout (Call Buying) - First Target $34 2008 Highs
Digital River (DRIV) Triggers at $32 - Breaks into Massive Gap (Call Buying) - Target Near $40
Calix (CALX) Consolidation Breakout - Recent IPO's in Tech Hot (Also Like MOTR, IL)
Tupperware (TUP) - Triggered at $44 (Already +$2) - Call Buying Later - Ascending triangle Breakout and Room to Run - Target $50
Johnson Controls (JCI) Triggered at $30.50 for Channel Breakout - Target $35 - Call Buyers Came in Later
Pharmasset (VRUS) - Triggered at $29 - Simple Resistance Breakout - Target $34 Resistance
Steve Madden (SHOO) - Triggered at $40 - Target $45
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Bull Flag Breakout, Developing - Target $65
Cognizant (CTSH) - Triggered $64.50 - Resistance Breakout - Target $70
Carribou Coffee (CBOU) - Triggered at $10.25 - Consolidation Breakout - Target $12
99 Cent Stores (NDN) - A Bit Late but Great 10 year Weekly - Gap Fill to $20
Carbo Ceramics (CRR) - Triggered at $83 - Major Resistance Breakout - Target $100
Estee Lauder (EL) - Triggered at $62 - Descending Triangle Breakout - Target $65
Aluminum China (ACH) Triggers at $23 - Target $27 on Ascending Triangle Break (Call Buying)
Analog Devices (ADI) Triggers at $31 - Ascending Triangle Breakout (Call Buying) - First Target $34 2008 Highs
Digital River (DRIV) Triggers at $32 - Breaks into Massive Gap (Call Buying) - Target Near $40
Calix (CALX) Consolidation Breakout - Recent IPO's in Tech Hot (Also Like MOTR, IL)
Tupperware (TUP) - Triggered at $44 (Already +$2) - Call Buying Later - Ascending triangle Breakout and Room to Run - Target $50
Johnson Controls (JCI) Triggered at $30.50 for Channel Breakout - Target $35 - Call Buyers Came in Later
Pharmasset (VRUS) - Triggered at $29 - Simple Resistance Breakout - Target $34 Resistance
Steve Madden (SHOO) - Triggered at $40 - Target $45
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Bull Flag Breakout, Developing - Target $65
Cognizant (CTSH) - Triggered $64.50 - Resistance Breakout - Target $70
Carribou Coffee (CBOU) - Triggered at $10.25 - Consolidation Breakout - Target $12
99 Cent Stores (NDN) - A Bit Late but Great 10 year Weekly - Gap Fill to $20
Carbo Ceramics (CRR) - Triggered at $83 - Major Resistance Breakout - Target $100
Estee Lauder (EL) - Triggered at $62 - Descending Triangle Breakout - Target $65
Monday, September 13, 2010
12 Fresh Breakouts You Need to be Watching
Xyratex (XRTX) Breaks Channel Down for Implied Move to $17 - Great Value Name as Well
Infineon (INFN) Weekly Chart Breakout for Potential Move to $15
Lexmark (LXK) Key Break of Resistance - Should be Good to $45
Cypress Semi (CY) Breaks Key $11.75 Resistance for Implied Move Exactly at #13.75 May Highs
Viacom (VIA.B) Descending Triangle Breakout for $40 Target
Infosys (INFY) Explosive Ascending Triangle Breakout - Target $70
Life-Time Fitness (LTM) Descending Triangle Breakout - 24.5% Short Float - Target $50
Concur Tech (CNQR) Breakout to Lifetime Highs - 13.7% Short Float - There is a Reason All those Feb. 50 Calls Bought Recently - First Target of $55
Ardea Bioscience (RDEA) Channel Breakout - Longer Term Bull Flag - Target $30
Vocus (VOCS) Massive Descending Triangle Breakout Above 200 EMA - $20 Target
Synopsys (SNPS) Channel Breakout on Weekly - $26.50+ target
Scholastic Corp (SCHL) Channel Breakout - $30 Target
Infineon (INFN) Weekly Chart Breakout for Potential Move to $15
Lexmark (LXK) Key Break of Resistance - Should be Good to $45
Cypress Semi (CY) Breaks Key $11.75 Resistance for Implied Move Exactly at #13.75 May Highs
Viacom (VIA.B) Descending Triangle Breakout for $40 Target
Infosys (INFY) Explosive Ascending Triangle Breakout - Target $70
Life-Time Fitness (LTM) Descending Triangle Breakout - 24.5% Short Float - Target $50
Concur Tech (CNQR) Breakout to Lifetime Highs - 13.7% Short Float - There is a Reason All those Feb. 50 Calls Bought Recently - First Target of $55
Ardea Bioscience (RDEA) Channel Breakout - Longer Term Bull Flag - Target $30
Vocus (VOCS) Massive Descending Triangle Breakout Above 200 EMA - $20 Target
Synopsys (SNPS) Channel Breakout on Weekly - $26.50+ target
Scholastic Corp (SCHL) Channel Breakout - $30 Target
Sunday, August 15, 2010
My Rules for Who to Follow on Twitter
As of this writing I have 1,927 followers and follow 71, and I feel the higher that ratio the better.
Around half of the 71 follows for me are somehow tied to the Oakland Raiders, Boston Bruins, Fantasy Baseball/Football, NFL/NH:, and Hunting/Fishing, but I thought I would provide my "technique" for finding worthy follows on Stock Twits.
1) Less is More! - I do not mind the occasional jokes, or worthless info, but the less fluff the better when it comes to trading the market. I pull up my ST Desktop a few times an hour throughout the day and want to see something meaningful.
2) Originality - I could care less about Apple, Google, Goldman, etc. chart as everyone is watching those charts, and good luck trading against the robots that are faster, smarter, and have more money. The way I find people that have clever and fresh ideas is often via searching stock symbols of names I come across and find interesting. I then check the stream, and if you were someone onto the name before me, I consider you a worthy follow.
3) Lack of Show-Boating - I can be as cocky as the next guy, but if you made a great trade and want to tell everyone about it, sure go ahead, but if you do it more than once, well...then there is a problem
4) Insight - I like to find people that specialize in a sector, whether it be Financial, Technology, or Commodities. I am someone that will trade any stock, any sector, any country, but also realize there are plenty of people that focus solely on an industry group that have much better insights than I do, or at least in a shorter amount of time and without having to do all the messy research
5) Chart Mongers - I probably follow too many chartists because I honestly never actually look at the charts, but use it for idea generation and look at the chart myself. If my opinion lines up with that of the person providing the chart, it adds the extra bit of confidence....always a good thing to have
With that said here are my StockTwitters I follow most closely (in no particular oder):
News/Info: @MFFAIS, @BreakoutBeacon, @bloombergnow, @livevol_Pro @TradeHawk, @TradeIdeas
Chartists:@stt2318, @flare9x,@harryboxer, @TheMeatBaron, @Zortraders, @MonsterTrader, @TraderFlorida, @RaginCajun @DanZanger @sssc @gtotoy
Knowledgeable Comments and Market Inight: @Xiphos_Trading, @biggercapital, @ukdaytrader, @rayjman, @CondorOptions, @agwarner, @attitrade @stevenplace
Great Swing/Day Traders: @Legacy_Trades, @traderjaz, @SellPuts, @johnwelshphd
Industry Focused: @TMTanalyst, @adamfeurstein, @mikehuckman
I am sure I am leaving a bunch of great contributors off the list, and apologize in advance.
The truth is I have never taken much time to find people to follow, so feel free to leave me recommendations, and the other reason is Entourage is coming on soon, so I need to get off the computer!
Around half of the 71 follows for me are somehow tied to the Oakland Raiders, Boston Bruins, Fantasy Baseball/Football, NFL/NH:, and Hunting/Fishing, but I thought I would provide my "technique" for finding worthy follows on Stock Twits.
1) Less is More! - I do not mind the occasional jokes, or worthless info, but the less fluff the better when it comes to trading the market. I pull up my ST Desktop a few times an hour throughout the day and want to see something meaningful.
2) Originality - I could care less about Apple, Google, Goldman, etc. chart as everyone is watching those charts, and good luck trading against the robots that are faster, smarter, and have more money. The way I find people that have clever and fresh ideas is often via searching stock symbols of names I come across and find interesting. I then check the stream, and if you were someone onto the name before me, I consider you a worthy follow.
3) Lack of Show-Boating - I can be as cocky as the next guy, but if you made a great trade and want to tell everyone about it, sure go ahead, but if you do it more than once, well...then there is a problem
4) Insight - I like to find people that specialize in a sector, whether it be Financial, Technology, or Commodities. I am someone that will trade any stock, any sector, any country, but also realize there are plenty of people that focus solely on an industry group that have much better insights than I do, or at least in a shorter amount of time and without having to do all the messy research
5) Chart Mongers - I probably follow too many chartists because I honestly never actually look at the charts, but use it for idea generation and look at the chart myself. If my opinion lines up with that of the person providing the chart, it adds the extra bit of confidence....always a good thing to have
With that said here are my StockTwitters I follow most closely (in no particular oder):
News/Info: @MFFAIS, @BreakoutBeacon, @bloombergnow, @livevol_Pro @TradeHawk, @TradeIdeas
Chartists:@stt2318, @flare9x,@harryboxer, @TheMeatBaron, @Zortraders, @MonsterTrader, @TraderFlorida, @RaginCajun @DanZanger @sssc @gtotoy
Knowledgeable Comments and Market Inight: @Xiphos_Trading, @biggercapital, @ukdaytrader, @rayjman, @CondorOptions, @agwarner, @attitrade @stevenplace
Great Swing/Day Traders: @Legacy_Trades, @traderjaz, @SellPuts, @johnwelshphd
Industry Focused: @TMTanalyst, @adamfeurstein, @mikehuckman
I am sure I am leaving a bunch of great contributors off the list, and apologize in advance.
The truth is I have never taken much time to find people to follow, so feel free to leave me recommendations, and the other reason is Entourage is coming on soon, so I need to get off the computer!
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
Thomas and Betts (TNB): Buy on Valuation, Technicals, and Seasonality
Thomas and Betts (TNB) is trading 10.75X earnings, 0.95X sales, 3.88X cash value, and 8.6X free cash flow with a $1.8B market cap. Shares were raised to Outperform at Wells Fargo on June 1st and are down around 12% since then, likely on concerns over residential construction.
However, shares have become a value play and the chart sets up well here as shares re-test a prior bottom and breakout level around $33, setting up for a bounce with shares extremely oversold, and the CCI starting to trend higher with bullish divergence.
The Company manufactures heating, ventilation, and Air Conditioning systems. The firm also produces switchgears for Utility companies and other electrical components. With the recent heat wave I came across TNB as a play on the air conditioning systems, and also the Utility industry is looking to upgrade its systems.
The valuation and chart sets up for a solid reward/risk, entering a long around $34 a shares and having a $32.50 stop, with a target move to $38.
However, shares have become a value play and the chart sets up well here as shares re-test a prior bottom and breakout level around $33, setting up for a bounce with shares extremely oversold, and the CCI starting to trend higher with bullish divergence.
The Company manufactures heating, ventilation, and Air Conditioning systems. The firm also produces switchgears for Utility companies and other electrical components. With the recent heat wave I came across TNB as a play on the air conditioning systems, and also the Utility industry is looking to upgrade its systems.
The valuation and chart sets up for a solid reward/risk, entering a long around $34 a shares and having a $32.50 stop, with a target move to $38.
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Sunday, May 23, 2010
Week of May 24th to May 28th Events
I provide the week ahead preview to my subscribers in the weekly Options Hunter Newsletter. Here is a sneak peak at the events you should be watching this week:
Week Ahead: Earnings are few and far between this week as the season comes to a close but we will hear from Medtronic, Campbell's Soup, Heinz, CostCo, NetApp, AutoZone, Tiffany's, Toll Brothers, American Eagle, Big Lots, J Crew, Blue Coat Systems, Take Two, and OmniVision. Housing data including existing home sales, Case Shiller, and New Home Sales are in focus in the front half of the week for economic data, while GDP, Personal Income, Consumer Sentiment, and Chicago PMI dominate the latter half of the week. It is also a fairly light schedule for Fed speakers with Bullard on Tuesday and Thursday, and Lacker on Wednesday. A look at the upcoming schedule this week:
Monday: Exiting Home Sales; Earnings from CPB, DCI, PVH; Analyst Meetings at HK, ARBA, HRS; BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (XRX, IT, CATM, MHP, GPN, IPG)
Tuesday: S&P Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, State Street Investor Confidence, Bullard Speaks at 11:15am; Earnings from MDT, DSW, HEI, NZ, TIVO, AZO, CBRL, FLO, SAFM; Analyst Meetings at AMSC, FLEX, MFE, NICE; B. Riley Investor Conf. (SNAK, SHOO, VLCM, HIL, TYL), BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (CBG, WU, ADS, DV, VRSK, EXBD, ESI, ACN), Stephens Spring Investment Conf., UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf. (DVN, HAL, BHI, NBL, NBR, NFX, APA, HP, OXY, RDC, COP, UNT, PXD)
Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders, New Home Sales, Lacker Speaks at 4:15pm; Earnings from DBRN, JAS, AVGO, SIGM, SMTC, BWS, SYNO, TOL, AEO, FRED, PAY, NTAP, RUE; Analyst Meetings at DNR, ITRI, NWL, VQ,ARW, FOE, SFG, TMO, NTRS, WRI, YHOO, EW; B. Riley Investment Conf., BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (V, COCO, APOL), Barclays Communications and Media Conf. (AMD, CMCSA, ATHR, INTC, LEAP, SWKS, QCOM, LINTA), Citi Global Healthcare Conf. (DNDN, MRK, GILD, HUM, HOLX, REGN, BAX, MHS, MD, PFE, CAH, CELG, AET, ISRG, VRUS, VVUS, AUXL, MDT, TRGT, AMLN, XNPT, POZN, INCY, WPI, UTHR), Janney Montgomery Consumer Conf. (OMX, HD, ERTS, LOW, GMCR, MED, VPRT, HLF, BJ), Kaufman Cloud Computing Conf. (SFSF, RAX, SVVS, CRM, TMRK, AKAM, BMC), UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf.(MRO, CHK, SWN, APC, COG, RRC, NE, CAM, KWK, FST, CLR), Wells Fargo Gaming Conf. (PENN, IGT, MAR, GET)
Thursday: GDP, Jobless Claims, Fed's Balance Sheet, Bullard Speaks at 2:30pm; Earnings from DMND, ESL, GES, JTX, OVTI, SEAC, TMRK, BRLI, COST, GCO, MNRO, HNZ, BCSI, BIG, HGG, JCG, MOV; Analyst Meetings at BRS, DNR, SYMC, NEM, ES, BGCP, PSSI, AEL; Barclays Media and Tech Conf. (T, MOT, CAVM, TXN, BRCM, NTGR, HLIT), Citi Global Healthcare Conf. (ALTH, BDX, MCK, IART, VRTX, MYGN, AMAG, MNTA, COV, NPSP, CFN, CLDX, ISIS, KERX, HGSI), UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf. (EOG, SD, HERO, TDW, RIG, XEC, PXP, WFT, DRC, HES, OIS, SFY)
Friday: Personal Income, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Farm Prices; Earnings from MENT;
Week Ahead: Earnings are few and far between this week as the season comes to a close but we will hear from Medtronic, Campbell's Soup, Heinz, CostCo, NetApp, AutoZone, Tiffany's, Toll Brothers, American Eagle, Big Lots, J Crew, Blue Coat Systems, Take Two, and OmniVision. Housing data including existing home sales, Case Shiller, and New Home Sales are in focus in the front half of the week for economic data, while GDP, Personal Income, Consumer Sentiment, and Chicago PMI dominate the latter half of the week. It is also a fairly light schedule for Fed speakers with Bullard on Tuesday and Thursday, and Lacker on Wednesday. A look at the upcoming schedule this week:
Monday: Exiting Home Sales; Earnings from CPB, DCI, PVH; Analyst Meetings at HK, ARBA, HRS; BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (XRX, IT, CATM, MHP, GPN, IPG)
Tuesday: S&P Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, State Street Investor Confidence, Bullard Speaks at 11:15am; Earnings from MDT, DSW, HEI, NZ, TIVO, AZO, CBRL, FLO, SAFM; Analyst Meetings at AMSC, FLEX, MFE, NICE; B. Riley Investor Conf. (SNAK, SHOO, VLCM, HIL, TYL), BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (CBG, WU, ADS, DV, VRSK, EXBD, ESI, ACN), Stephens Spring Investment Conf., UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf. (DVN, HAL, BHI, NBL, NBR, NFX, APA, HP, OXY, RDC, COP, UNT, PXD)
Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders, New Home Sales, Lacker Speaks at 4:15pm; Earnings from DBRN, JAS, AVGO, SIGM, SMTC, BWS, SYNO, TOL, AEO, FRED, PAY, NTAP, RUE; Analyst Meetings at DNR, ITRI, NWL, VQ,ARW, FOE, SFG, TMO, NTRS, WRI, YHOO, EW; B. Riley Investment Conf., BofA/Merrill Services Conf. (V, COCO, APOL), Barclays Communications and Media Conf. (AMD, CMCSA, ATHR, INTC, LEAP, SWKS, QCOM, LINTA), Citi Global Healthcare Conf. (DNDN, MRK, GILD, HUM, HOLX, REGN, BAX, MHS, MD, PFE, CAH, CELG, AET, ISRG, VRUS, VVUS, AUXL, MDT, TRGT, AMLN, XNPT, POZN, INCY, WPI, UTHR), Janney Montgomery Consumer Conf. (OMX, HD, ERTS, LOW, GMCR, MED, VPRT, HLF, BJ), Kaufman Cloud Computing Conf. (SFSF, RAX, SVVS, CRM, TMRK, AKAM, BMC), UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf.(MRO, CHK, SWN, APC, COG, RRC, NE, CAM, KWK, FST, CLR), Wells Fargo Gaming Conf. (PENN, IGT, MAR, GET)
Thursday: GDP, Jobless Claims, Fed's Balance Sheet, Bullard Speaks at 2:30pm; Earnings from DMND, ESL, GES, JTX, OVTI, SEAC, TMRK, BRLI, COST, GCO, MNRO, HNZ, BCSI, BIG, HGG, JCG, MOV; Analyst Meetings at BRS, DNR, SYMC, NEM, ES, BGCP, PSSI, AEL; Barclays Media and Tech Conf. (T, MOT, CAVM, TXN, BRCM, NTGR, HLIT), Citi Global Healthcare Conf. (ALTH, BDX, MCK, IART, VRTX, MYGN, AMAG, MNTA, COV, NPSP, CFN, CLDX, ISIS, KERX, HGSI), UBS Global Oil and Gas Conf. (EOG, SD, HERO, TDW, RIG, XEC, PXP, WFT, DRC, HES, OIS, SFY)
Friday: Personal Income, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Farm Prices; Earnings from MENT;
Thursday, March 11, 2010
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